Monday, December 06, 2004

DV2006 Odds.

The USA Diversity Immigrant Visa Program is open for year 2006. More commonly known as the US Green Card Lottery, DV2006 will make available 50,000 residency visa via electronic lottery. It is open until 7 January 2005. Just submitted my application as I have done for the last couple years.

Pulling out the results over the last couple years
(Year) / (Total entries) / (Number of Singapore winners)
2005 / 5.9 million / 35
2004 / 7.3 million / 137
2003 / 6.2 million / 80
2002 / 10.0 million / 62

The odds of getting a Singapore entry selected is approximately
2005: one in 168,571
2004: one in 53,285
2003: one in 77,500
2002: one in 161,290

In comparism the figures for the Singapore Pools lottery:

Odds of winning Toto Group 1 prize : one in 8,145,060
Odds of winning Toto Group 2 prize : one in 1,135,510


The US diversity visa lottery is free.
You have to pay to buy a lottery ticket from Singapore pools.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

It is easier to get one by coming to the US to study first. Then get your H-1B, then apply for permanent residency.

At least this route is pretty much in your hands, esp if you can get good connections from your university.

Even better if you get a PhD from a US university, cos you can apply for academia positions - which are not limited by the H-1B quota.

PS - I linked your blogsite from mine. :)

December 08, 2004 11:41 PM  
Blogger KnightofPentacles said...

That is a good route for some. Unfortunately it not a good route for me.

As documented into my earliest posts I can neither afford a US education nor have the academic brainpower to survive formal higher education.

Still for some.. it would be an excellent way to pave a migration path to the USA. Thanks for the suggestion!

December 09, 2004 2:34 PM  
Blogger Calopto said...

At least with Singapore Pools, you could pay for multiple tickets to increase your odds. Where on earth did you get the 10m Singaporean adults with at least 12 yrs of education in year 2002 to submit the number of applications you quoted? Ever heard of self-disqualification if you submit a duplicate? A better statistics to quote will be the number of successful applications out of the number of qualified applications. The odds sure look even better than buying Toto.

Also, DV2005 was the first year the US Immigration converted to all-electronic submission and balloting. How could the number of applications from the tech-savvy Singaporean society went down compared to prior years?

Dream about getting a H1B first, then greencard? The system isn't moving as it used to be prior to year 2001. Lottery still is the easiest route for PR'ship.

December 23, 2004 2:10 PM  
Blogger Singapore Calamari said...

Dear Calapto,

The 10 mil in 2002, is the total number of entries from all over the world, not just SG.

If you pause a while more to consider: that your DV lottery already has better odds, even when you are competeting with the whole world..

Using that statistics, for year 2002 (1 in 161,290 chances), you have to buy 50 TOTO tickets... Ok lah, not that expensive.. $25 only.. :)

December 25, 2004 2:06 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I've been trying to help a friend come to the US this way for 3 years (she's a S'pore PR from MY) -- no luck, so far. Examination of past results has led me to believe that the lottery is a sham and is really just a form of targeted immigration. Some countries (i.e. Bangladesh) seem to get an inordinate number of awards each year of several years in a row. The results look nothing like what one would expect from a random drawing.

July 10, 2005 9:05 PM  
Anonymous teacup said...

nevertheless, i applied for the lottery anyway. -shrugs- but omg, they're free? i had to pay ...

November 30, 2005 5:50 PM  

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